When Is a “Mark” Not a Mark? When It’s a Venture Capital Mark

by Scott Kupor

Advanced · Medium

Original on a16z.com

Summary

Kupor sets out to demystify how venture capital firms put a value on companies they have not yet sold. He walks through the main accounting methods firms use, shows with a worked example how each can produce very different numbers for the same company, and argues that investors should judge funds by the cash actually returned to them rather than by interim paper estimates.

Key points

  • Private companies do not trade continuously, so their valuations involve judgment as much as math.
  • Accounting rules require venture firms to estimate the value of their holdings every quarter.
  • Common methods include last-round pricing, public-company comparables, and an option pricing model.
  • One hypothetical company could be marked anywhere from about 16x to 38x its cost.
  • Comparing marks across firms is misleading because each firm may use a different method.
  • Only realized cash returned to limited partners shows whether a venture fund has succeeded.

Why practice this

Kupor writes plain, explanatory prose that defines jargon, works through numerical examples, and adds light humor. Retyping him teaches how to make a technical financial topic clear with concrete figures, step-by-step reasoning, and a memorable closing analogy.

Practice an excerpt

These excerpts are short quotations for practice and commentary. All rights stay with the author; read the whole essay at the original source.

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The value of what VCs ultimately distribute to their limited partners (LPs) is deterministic – cash and stock that can be converted into cash – not based on some theoretical model about hypothetical returns in 7-10 years (so-called “marks”). Simply put, you can’t game cash.
Venture capital is a long game. Calling the outcome on funds that are less than 5 years old, where many of the portfolio companies haven’t even shipped their products, based on non-uniform, point-in-time valuation metrics, is like reporting the Super Bowl winner based on the result of pre-season NFL games or even training camp scrimmages.

About this essay

Kupor explains how venture firms value private holdings on paper and why those valuations say little about real returns.

“When Is a “Mark” Not a Mark? When It’s a Venture Capital Mark” was written by Scott Kupor. Read the original at a16z.com. Copywork shows a summary and short excerpts for practice and commentary; all rights stay with the author.

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